January was, like many recent months, a tale of two halves with cold first half followed by less cold 2nd half. I say less cold because it wasn’t entirely mild. Some days a little above, some a little below and many nearer average and that should make for a slightly colder than average following the […]
An unusually warm, wet December ends cold, frosty and largely dry while January opens increasingly cold, with biting northerly. The northerly, packing 30 to 50+mph gusts shall usher in increasingly heavy and frequent snow showers. Low level accumulations of 5-10cm and 10-20, locally 30+ over high, exposed ground. A yellow snow and ice warning is […]
December and meteorological winter starts mild and wet with the Atlantic the rule. The tail end of November finished with a rare SSW but being of the reflective type and supportive of North American cold outbreaks, the result for Europe is a stronger jet and reinforced low pressure dominance. While the MJO is strongly in […]
Welcome to my 16th consecutive Europe winter forecast. In this forecast, the conclusions drawn for the upcoming meteorological winter period (December-February) are based on current climate state and global drivers at play including current global SST profile, ENSO, IOD, QBO & Solar! Global Drivers Weak La Nina conditions Deepest -IOD Since 1996 Easterly QBO Warm […]
October ends and November begins with a deep Icelandic trough/Euro high with a predominantly mild, moist WSW flow as per week 1 of the CFSv2. The below total accumulated rainfall displays the above nicely with wettest where exposed to the Atlantic rainbands. A windy period too. With possible strengthening of the Euro ridge, I suspect […]
January was, like many recent months, a tale of two halves with cold first half followed by less cold 2nd half. I say less cold because it wasn’t entirely mild. Some days a little above, some a little below and many nearer average and that should make for a slightly colder than average following the […]
An unusually warm, wet December ends cold, frosty and largely dry while January opens increasingly cold, with biting northerly. The northerly, packing 30 to 50+mph gusts shall usher in increasingly heavy and frequent snow showers. Low level accumulations of 5-10cm and 10-20, locally 30+ over high, exposed ground. A yellow snow and ice warning is […]
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